← Phoenix Inn PTM Store Championship
Horse and TaxesTier 1
at Phoenix Inn PTM Store Championship
decks
1
(6.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
4-2-0
overall winrate
66.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.2%
avg ELO +0.1 per match
expected value
52.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1436
· median 1436
· range 1436–1436
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1119
Q1 1270
Q3 1433
1493
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Genbu | 18.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.4% | -2.5 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.7% | +5.9 |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.5% | +3.9 |
| Water Allies | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.1% | -14.2 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.3% | +10.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Horse and Taxes decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
